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Rail Passenger Transport in Australia - Market Research Report (2015-2030)

Andrew Ledovskikh Andrew Ledovskikh Melbourne, Australia Last Updated: November 2025 ANZSIC I4720

Revenue

$17.6bn

2025-26

$17.6bn

Past 5-Year Growth

Profit

$XXX.Xm

Employees

35,271

Businesses

12

Wages

$X.Xbn

Rail Passenger Transport in Australia industry analysis

Despite significant volatility in passenger numbers over the past five years, revenue growth has remained relatively steady, with blows from the pandemic and slow post-pandemic recovery softened by increased government subsidies. However, stretched budgets and political considerations have not allowed state governments to boost subsidies to the point of sustaining margins, with rail passenger transport operators maintaining lower margins than in the pre-pandemic era, despite an improvement over the past five years. Overall, revenue is expected to climb at an annualised 3.5% to $17.6 billion over the five years through 2025-26. This trend includes an anticipated rise of less than 0.1% in the current year, with revenue flattening following strong growth over the two years through 2024-25 amid a recovery in passenger numbers.

Trends and Insights

  • Government subsidies make up most of the industry’s revenue. Since rail passenger ticket fares need to stay low to encourage public transport usage and keep services accessible, they don’t generate enough revenue to keep providers profitable.
  • Work-from-home trends have dampened the recovery in rail transport passenger numbers. Urban rail passenger numbers continue to struggle to return to even pre-pandemic levels, let alone show signs of a return to a pre-pandemic growth trajectory.
  • Most commuters travel from residential areas to CBDs. Given that cities generate significant demand for transport, urban centres like Sydney and Melbourne attract more extensive rail networks compared with residential and rural areas.
  • Rail transport providers tend to operate in geographically isolated markets. Since providers usually hold a regional monopoly, internal industry competition is largely non-existent.
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Industry Statistics and Trends

Market size and recent performance (2015-2030)

Industry revenue has grown at a CAGR of 3.5 % over the past five years, to reach an estimated $17.6bn in 2025.

Trends and Insights

Government subsidies keep rail transport providers operating

  • Rail transport providers transport passengers between dispersed residential areas and city centres. Even though patronage reduced after the COVID-19 outbreak, revenue continued climbing due to growing government subsidies.
  • Additional trends and insights available with purchase
Rail Passenger Transport in Australia
Revenue (2015-2030)
IBISWorld Logo Source: IBISWorld

Industry outlook (2025-2030)

Market size is projected to grow over the next five years.

Trends and Insights

Revenue growth is on track to remain relatively stable

  • Revenue is likely to exhibit very little volatility in the coming years as large government operating subsidies continue. Subsidies tend to stabilise industry revenue and margins, with subsidies rising when fare revenue declines and falling when it grows.

Biggest companies in the Rail Passenger Transport in Australia

Company
Market Share (%)
2026
Revenue ($m)
2026
Transport for NSW
5,418.7
Queensland Rail
3,025.0
Public Transport Authority
1,090.9

To view the market share and analysis for all 3 top companies in this industry, view purchase options.

Products & Services Segmentation

Rail Passenger Transport in Australia
Products & Services
IBISWorld Logo Source: IBISWorld

Industry revenue is measured across several distinct product and services lines, including Urban weekday peak services, Urban weekday off-peak services and Urban weekend services. Urban weekday peak services is the largest segment of the Rail Passenger Transport in Australia.

Trends and Insights

Work-from-home trends have dampened urban weekday peak services’ growth trajectory

  • Urban weekday peak services dominate the Rail Passenger Transport industry's services. Extra services run during these periods to meet higher demand.
  • More insights available in the full report

Table of Contents

About this industry

Industry definition

Companies in the industry operate railways that transport passengers, including passenger services for commuter rail and metropolitan rail, and monorail operations. The industry excludes tramways, rail terminal operations and tourist rail passenger services.

What's included in this industry?

Products and services covered in the Rail Passenger Transport industry in Australia include Urban weekday peak services, Urban weekday off-peak services, Urban weekend services and Rural services.

Companies

Companies covered in the Rail Passenger Transport industry in Australia include Transport for NSW, Queensland Rail and Public Transport Authority.

Purchase this report to view all 3 major companies in this industry.

Related Terms

Related terms covered in the Rail Passenger Transport industry in Australia include commuter rail, heavy rail and patronage.

Industry Code

ANZSIC 2006

ANZSIC 4720 - Rail Passenger Transport in Australia

Performance

Get an indication of the industry's health through historical, current and forward-looking trends in the performance indicators that make or break businesses.

Analyst insights

Government subsidies make up most of the industry’s revenue. Since rail passenger ticket fares need to stay low to encourage public transport usage and keep services accessib...

In this chapter (4)

  • Current Performance
  • Outlook
  • Volatility
  • Life Cycle

Key metrics

  • Annual Revenue, Recent Growth, Forecast, Revenue Volatility
  • Number of Employees, Recent Growth, Forecast, Employees per Business, Revenue per Employee
  • Number of Businesses, Recent Growth, Forecast, Employees per Business, Revenue per Business
  • Total Profit, Profit Margin, Profit per Business

Charts

  • Revenue, including historical (2015-2024) and forecast (2025-2030)
  • Employees, including historical (2015-2024) and forecast (2025-2030)
  • Businesses, including historical (2015-2024) and forecast (2025-2030)
  • Profit, including historical (2015-2025)
  • Industry Volatility vs. Revenue Growth
  • Industry Life Cycle

Detailed analysis

  • Trends in supply, demand and current events that are driving current industry performance
  • Expected trends, economic factors and ongoing events that drive the industry's outlook
  • Key success factors for businesses to overcome volatility
  • How contribution to GDP, industry saturation, innovation, consolidation, and technology and systems influence the industry's life cycle phase.

Products and Markets

Learn about an industry's products and services, markets and trends in international trade.

Analyst insight

Work-from-home trends have dampened the recovery in rail transport passenger numbers. Urban rail passenger numbers continue to struggle to return to even pre-pandemic levels,...

In this chapter

  • Products & Services
  • Major Markets

Key metrics

  • Largest market segment and value in 2025
  • Product innovation level

Charts

  • Products & services segmentation in 2025
  • Major market segmentation in 2025

Detailed analysis

  • Trends impacting the recent performance of the industry's various segments
  • Innovations in the industry's product or service offering, specialization or delivery method
  • Key factors that successful businesses consider in their offerings
  • Buying segments and key trends influencing demand for industry products and services

Geographic Breakdown

Discover where business activity is most concentrated in an industry and the factors driving these trends to find opportunities and conduct regional benchmarking.

Analyst insights

Most commuters travel from residential areas to CBDs. Given that cities generate significant demand for transport, urban centres like Sydney and Melbourne attract more extens...

In this chapter (1)

  • Business Locations

Charts

  • Share of revenue, establishment, wages and employment in each region
  • Share of population compared to establishments in each region in 2025

Tables

  • Number and share of establishments in each region in 2025
  • Number and share of revenue each region accounts for in 2025
  • Number and share of wages each region accounts for in 2025
  • Number and share of employees in each region in 2025

Detailed analysis

  • Geographic spread of the industry across Asia Pacific, and trends associated with changes in the business landscape
  • Key success factors for businesses to use location to their advantage

Competitive Forces

Get data and insights on what's driving competition in an industry and the challenges industry operators and new entrants may face, with analysis built around Porter's Five Forces framework.

Analyst insights

Rail transport providers tend to operate in geographically isolated markets. Since providers usually hold a regional monopoly, internal industry competition is largely non-ex...

In this chapter (4)

  • Concentration
  • Barriers to Entry
  • Substitutes
  • Buyer & Supplier Analysis

Key metrics

  • Industry concentration level
  • Industry competition level and trend
  • Barriers to entry level and trend
  • Substitutes level and trend
  • Buyer power level and trend
  • Supplier power level and trend

Charts

  • Market share concentration among the top 4 suppliers from 2020-2025
  • Supply chain including upstream supplying industries and downstream buying industries, flow chart

Detailed analysis

  • Factors impacting the industry’s level of concentration, such as business distribution, new entrants, or merger and acquisition activity.
  • Key success factors for businesses to manage the competitive environment of the industry.
  • Challenges that potential industry entrants face such as legal, start-up costs, differentiation, labor/capital intensity and capital expenses.
  • Key success factors for potential entrants to overcome barriers to entry.
  • Competitive threats from potential substitutes for the industry’s own products and services.
  • Key success factors for how successful businesses can compete with substitutes.
  • Advantages that buyers have to keep favorable purchasing conditions.
  • Advantages that suppliers have to maintain favorable selling conditions.
  • Key success factors for how businesses can navigate buyer and supplier power.

Companies

Learn about the performance of the top companies in the industry.

Analyst insights

The Department of Transport NSW is introducing new projects. For example, the Sydney Metro project – set to be completed by 2030 – will expand rail lines and improve services...

In this chapter

  • Market Share Concentration
  • Companies
  • Company Spotlights

Charts

  • Industry market share by company in 2021 through 2025
  • Major companies in the industry, including market share, revenue, profit and profit margin in 2025
  • Overview of Transport for NSW's performance by revenue, market share and profit margin from 2019 through 2025
  • Overview of Queensland Rail's performance by revenue, market share and profit margin from 2019 through 2025
  • Overview of Public Transport Authority's performance by revenue, market share and profit margin from 2019 through 2025

Detailed analysis

  • Description and key data for Transport for NSW, and factors influencing its performance in the industry
  • Description and key data for Queensland Rail, and factors influencing its performance in the industry
  • Description and key data for Public Transport Authority, and factors influencing its performance in the industry

External Environment

Understand the demographic, economic and regulatory factors that shape how businesses in an industry perform.   

Analyst insights

State regulations apply to rail passenger transport providers. People or organisations that operate trains must be accredited by the area’s relevant body, as well as being re...

In this chapter

  • External Drivers
  • Regulation & Policy
  • Assistance

Key metrics

  • Regulation & policy level and trend
  • Assistance level and trend

Charts

  • Regulation & Policy historical data and forecast (2015-2030) 
  • Assistance historical data and forecast (2015-2030) 

Detailed analysis

  • Demographic and macroeconomic factors influencing the industry, including Regulation & Policy and Assistance
  • Major types of regulations, regulatory bodies, industry standards or specific regulations impacting requirements for industry operators
  • Key governmental and non-governmental groups or policies that may provide some relief for industry operators.

Financial Benchmarks

View average costs for industry operators and compare financial data against an industry's financial benchmarks over time. 

Analyst insights

Industry profitability has struggled to recover from pandemic lows. While government subsidies have receded since the end of the pandemic, passenger numbers have been slow to...

In this chapter

  • Cost Structure
  • Financial Ratios
  • Key Ratios

Key metrics

  • Profit margin, and how it compares to the sector-wide margin
  • Average wages, and how it compares to the sector-wide average wage
  • Largest cost component as a percentage of revenue
  • Industry average ratios for days' receivables, industry coverage and debt-to-net-worth ratio

Charts

  • Average industry operating costs as a share of revenue, including purchases, wages, depreciation, utilities, rent, other costs and profit in 2025
  • Average sector operating costs as a share of revenue, including purchases, wages, depreciation, utilities, rent, other costs and profit in 2025
  • Investment vs. share of economy

Data tables

  • Cash Flow & Debt Service Ratios (2015-2030)
  • Revenue per Employee (2015-2030)
  • Revenue per Enterprise (2015-2030)
  • Employees per Establishment (2015-2030)
  • Employees per Enterprise (2015-2030)
  • Average Wage (2015-2030)
  • Wages/Revenue (2015-2030)
  • Establishments per Enterprise (2015-2030)
  • IVA/Revenue (2015-2030)
  • Imports/Demand (2015-2030)
  • Exports/Revenue (2015-2030)

Detailed analysis

  • Trends in the cost component for industry operators and their impact on industry costs and profitability 

Key Statistics

Industry Data

Data Tables

Including values and annual change:

  • Revenue (2015-2030)
  • IVA (2015-2030)
  • Establishments (2015-2030)
  • Enterprises (2015-2030)
  • Employment (2015-2030)
  • Exports (2015-2030)
  • Imports (2015-2030)
  • Wages (2015-2030)

Top Questions Answered

Unlock comprehensive answers and precise data upon purchase. View purchase options.

What is the market size of the Rail Passenger Transport industry in Australia in 2025?

The market size of the Rail Passenger Transport industry in Australia is $17.6bn in 2025.

How many businesses are there in the Rail Passenger Transport industry in Australia in 2025?

There are 12 businesses in the Rail Passenger Transport industry in Australia, which has declined at a CAGR of 1.6 % between 2020 and 2025.

How may import tariffs affect the Rail Passenger Transport industry in Australia?

The Rail Passenger Transport industry in Australia is unlikely to be materially impacted by import tariffs with imports accounting for a low share of industry revenue.

How may export tariffs affect the Rail Passenger Transport industry in Australia?

The Rail Passenger Transport industry in Australia is unlikely to be materially impacted by export tariffs with exports accounting for a low share of industry revenue.

Has the Rail Passenger Transport industry in Australia grown or declined over the past 5 years?

The market size of the Rail Passenger Transport industry in Australia has been growing at a CAGR of 3.5 % between 2020 and 2025.

What is the forecast growth of the Rail Passenger Transport industry in Australia over the next 5 years?

Over the next five years, the Rail Passenger Transport industry in Australia is expected to grow.

What are the biggest companies in the Rail Passenger Transport industry in Australia?

The biggest companies operating in the Rail Passenger Transport industry in Australia are Transport for NSW, Queensland Rail and Public Transport Authority

What does the Rail Passenger Transport industry in Australia include?

Urban weekday peak services and Urban weekday off-peak services are part of the Rail Passenger Transport industry in Australia.

Which companies have the highest market share in the Rail Passenger Transport industry in Australia?

The company holding the most market share in the Rail Passenger Transport industry in Australia is Transport for NSW.

How competitive is the Rail Passenger Transport industry in Australia?

The level of competition is moderate and steady in the Rail Passenger Transport industry in Australia.

Methodology

How are IBISWorld reports created?

IBISWorld has been a leading provider of trusted industry research for over 50 years to the most successful companies worldwide. With offices in Australia, the United States, the United Kingdom, Germany and China, we are proud to have local teams of analysts that conduct research, data analysis and forecasting to produce data-driven industry reports.

Our analysts start with official, verified and publicly available sources of data to build the most accurate picture of each industry. Analysts then leverage their expertise and knowledge of the local markets to synthesize trends into digestible content for IBISWorld readers. Finally, each report is reviewed by one of IBISWorld’s editors, who provide quality assurance to ensure accuracy and readability.

IBISWorld relies on human-verified data and human-written analysis to compile each standard industry report. We do not use generative AI tools to write insights, although members can choose to leverage AI-based tools within the platform to generate additional analysis formats.

What data sources do IBISWorld analysts use?

Each industry report incorporates data and research from government databases, industry-specific sources, industry contacts, and our own proprietary database of statistics and analysis to provide balanced, independent and accurate insights.

Key data sources in Australia include:

  • Australian Bureau of Statistics
  • Australian Taxation Office
  • Australian Securities & Investments Commission

Analysts also use industry specific sources to complement catch-all sources, although their perspective may focus on a particular organization or representative body, rather than a clear overview of all industry operations. However, when balanced against other perspectives, industry-specific sources provide insights into industry trends.

These sources include:

  • Industry and trade associations
  • Industry federations or regulators
  • Major industry players annual or quarterly filings

Finally, IBISWorld’s global data scientists maintain a proprietary database of macroeconomic and demand drivers, which our analysts use to help inform industry data and trends. They also maintain a database of statistics and analysis on thousands of industries, which has been built over our more than 50-year history and offers comprehensive insights into long-term trends.

How does IBISWorld forecast its data?

IBISWorld’s analysts and data scientists use the sources above to create forecasts for our proprietary datasets and industry statistics. Depending on the dataset, they may use regression analysis, multivariate analysis, time-series analysis or exponential smoothing techniques to project future data for the industry or driver. Additionally, analysts will leverage their local knowledge of industry operating and regulatory conditions to impart their best judgment on the forecast model.

IBISWorld prides itself on being a trusted, independent source of data, with over 50 years of experience building and maintaining rich datasets and forecasting tools. We are proud to be the keystone source of industry information for thousands of companies across the world.

Learn more about our methodology and data sourcing on the Help Center.

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