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Grain Growing in New Zealand Industry Data and Analysis
The Grain Growing industry produces a variety of cereal grain crops, including wheat, barley, maize, oats and other grains. The industry's performance has been extremely volatile over the recent period, driven by fluctuations in commodity prices. A dramatic revenue surge in 2021–22 and 2022–23 was triggered by the Russia-Ukraine conflict disrupting global grain supplies, causing prices for wheat, barley, oats and maize to spike to historic levels. This led to extraordinary increases in profit margins as expenses didn't rise proportionally. Industry profitability hinges on numerous factors, including input costs, global prices, international demand, and the value of the New Zealand dollar. As global supply began to normalise in 2023–24, prices retreated, revenue fell and profit margins tightened, although they remain elevated compared to 2020-21 levels. Production volumes have fluctuated between product segments. Barley and oats output have jumped, while wheat and maize production have remained stable. Weather fluctuations directly impact yields. Increasing demand for healthier and sustainably processed products like gluten-free and whole-grain bread, as well as emerging markets like craft beers, has boosted demand for grains, especially for barley, maize, oats and buckwheat. Despite yearly fluctuations, revenue is expected to grow at an average rate of 1.6% over the five years through to 2025-26 to total $845.7 million. This is expected to include a 1.2% decline in 2025-26 as commodity prices continue to normalise.
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What's included in this industry analysis
IBISWorld's research coverage on the Grain Growing industry in New Zealand includes market sizing, forecasting, data and analysis from 2015-2030. The most recent publication was released December 2025.
About this industry
What's this industry report about?
The Grain Growing industry in New Zealand operates under the ANZSIC industry code A0149NZ. Industry operators primarily grow wheat, cereal and coarse grains (excluding rice). Operators also grow oilseeds, pasture seeds, lupins, and field peas or beans. Related terms covered in the Grain Growing industry in New Zealand include maize, threshing and barley.
What's included in this industry?
Products and services covered in Grain Growing industry in New Zealand include Wheat, Barley and Oats.
What companies are included in this industry?
The Grain Growing industry in New Zealand is highly fragmented with no companies holding a market share greater than 5%.
Performance
What's included in the Performance chapter?
The Performance chapter covers detailed analysis, datasets, detailed current performance, sources of volatility and an outlook with forecasts for the Grain Growing industry in New Zealand.
Questions answered in this chapter include what's driving current industry performance, what influences industry volatility, how do successful businesses overcome volatility, what's driving the industry outlook. This analysis is supported with data and statistics on industry revenues, costs, profits, businesses and employees.
Products & Markets
What's included in the Products and Markets chapter?
The Products and Markets chapter covers detailed product and service segmentation, analysis of major markets and international trade data for the for the Grain Growing industry in New Zealand.
Questions answered in this chapter include how are the industry's products and services performing, what are innovations in industry products and services, what products or services do successful businesses offer and what's influencing demand from the industry's markets. This includes data and statistics on industry revenues by product and service segmentation and major markets.
Geographic Breakdown
What's included in the Geographic Breakdown chapter?
The Geographic Breakdown chapter covers detailed analysis and datasets on regional performance of the Grain Growing industry in New Zealand.
Questions answered in this chapter include where are industry businesses located and how do businesses use location to their advantage. This includes data and statistics on industry revenues by location.
Competitive Forces
What's included in the Competitive Forces chapter?
The Competitive Forces chapter covers the concentration, barriers to entry and supplier and buyer profiles in the Grain Growing industry in New Zealand. This includes data and statistics on industry market share concentration, barriers to entry, substitute products and buyer & supplier power.
Questions answered in this chapter include what impacts the industry's market share concentration, how do successful businesses handle concentration, what challenges do potential industry entrants face, how can potential entrants overcome barriers to entry, what are substitutes for industry services, how do successful businesses compete with substitutes and what power do buyers and suppliers have over the industry and how do successful businesses manage buyer & supplier power.
Companies
What's included in the Companies chapter?
The Companies chapter covers Key Takeaways, Market Share and Companies in the Grain Growing industry in New Zealand. This includes data and analysis on companies operating in the industry that hold a market share greater than 5%.
Questions answered in this chapter include what companies have a meaningful market share and how each company is performing.
External Environment
What's included in the External Environment chapter?
The External Environment chapter covers Key Takeaways, External Drivers, Regulation & Policy and Assistance in the Grain Growing industry in New Zealand. This includes data and statistics on factors impacting industry revenue such as economic indicators, regulation, policy and assistance programs.
Questions answered in this chapter include what demographic and macroeconomic factors impact the industry, what regulations impact the industry, what assistance is available to this industry.
Financial Benchmarks
What's included in the Financial Benchmarks chapter?
The Financial Benchmarks chapter covers Key Takeaways, Cost Structure, Financial Ratios, Valuation Multiples and Key Ratios in the Grain Growing industry in New Zealand. This includes financial data and statistics on industry performance including key cost inputs, profitability, key financial ratios and enterprise value multiples.
Questions answered in this chapter include what trends impact industry costs and how financial ratios have changed overtime.
Industry Data
What's included in the Industry Data chapter?
The Industry Data chapter includes 10 years of historical data with 5 years of forecast data covering statistics like revenue, industry value add, establishments, enterprises, employment and wages in the Grain Growing industry in New Zealand.
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is the market size of the Grain Growing industry in New Zealand in 2026?
The market size of the Grain Growing industry in New Zealand is $845.7m in 2026.
How many businesses are there in the Grain Growing industry in New Zealand in 2025?
There are 456 businesses in the Grain Growing industry in New Zealand, which has declined at a CAGR of 0.1 % between 2020 and 2025.
How may import tariffs affect the Grain Growing industry in New Zealand?
The Grain Growing industry in New Zealand is likely to be impacted by import tariffs with imports accounting for a moderate share of industry revenue.
How may export tariffs affect the Grain Growing industry in New Zealand?
The Grain Growing industry in New Zealand is unlikely to be materially impacted by export tariffs with exports accounting for a low share of industry revenue.
Has the Grain Growing industry in New Zealand grown or declined over the past 5 years?
The market size of the Grain Growing industry in New Zealand has been growing at a CAGR of 1.6 % between 2020 and 2025.
What is the forecast growth of the Grain Growing industry in New Zealand over the next 5 years?
Over the next five years, the Grain Growing industry in New Zealand is expected to grow.
What does the Grain Growing industry in New Zealand include?
Barley and Wheat are part of the Grain Growing industry in New Zealand.
How competitive is the Grain Growing industry in New Zealand?
The level of competition is moderate and increasing in the Grain Growing industry in New Zealand.
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