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Rail Transportation in the US - Market Research Report (2015-2030)

Samuel Moshiashvili Samuel Moshiashvili New York, United States Last Updated: October 2025 NAICS 48211

Revenue

$103.0bn

2025

$103.0bn

Past 5-Year Growth

Profit

$XX.Xbn

Employees

120k

Businesses

624

Wages

$XX.Xbn

Rail Transportation in the US industry analysis

The US rail industry is in a phase of strategic adjustment, marked by heightened volatility. Revenue growth has been primarily driven by robust intermodal performance, as major railroads have strategically leaned into partnerships and technology to boost volumes and operational efficiency. The industry has rebounded despite strains on profit from inflationary pressures on inputs, sharp increases in purchase costs for equipment and tech and volatile fuel prices. Precision-scheduled railroading (PSR) initiatives and ongoing merger and partnership activity have supported profit stabilization by increasing efficiency. Over the past five years, industry revenue has recovered from its low in 2020, expanding at a 4.5% compound annual growth rate (CAGR) to reach an estimated $103.0 billion in 2025. The current year’s revenue is projected to grow 1.1% through the end of 2025, reinforcing lower momentum but reflecting sustained network improvements and sustained intermodal activity.

Trends and Insights

  • The use of precision scheduled railroading (PSR) has led to leaner operations but also concerns about service consistency and employment levels. The Surface Transportation Board has raised concerns about railroad companies’ focus on short-term profit at the expense of long-term growth.
  • Rail transportation costs will rise as 50.0% tariffs on imported steel and aluminum inflate infrastructure and equipment expenses. These higher costs could delay rail network upgrades and increase freight rates, burdening industries reliant on rail logistics. Reduced demand as a result of tariffs may lower freight volumes, impacting rail operators' profit and forcing adjustments to service capacity and pricing strategies.
  • The rail industry in the Southeast benefits from the region’s population and its intermodal terminals that facilitate distribution for the agricultural and manufacturing sectors. Norfolk Southern's rail services operate in this region to complement trucking, for example, enhancing last-mile delivery capabilities and boosting regional logistics.
  • The merger between Kansas City Southern and a part of Canadian Pacific formed CPKC, enhancing its competitive edge in the US rail market. This union allows CPKC to utilize combined infrastructure and economies of scale. While regulators voiced concerns about future price hikes following the merger, CPKC executives stated that the merger would improve service and lower prices for shippers by providing a more efficient single-line transportation option across North America.
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Industry Statistics and Trends

Market size and recent performance (2015-2030)

Industry revenue has grown at a CAGR of 4.5 % over the past five years, to reach an estimated $103.0bn in 2025.

Trends and Insights

Trade activity and domestic production benefit demand for rail transportation

  • Expanding economic activity and rising trade volumes over the last five years inherently boosted freight transportation. Railroads remain the top freight distributor by weight, making them a vital part of the supply chain and closely tying their performance to broader economic activity. Tightened monetary policy pressured consumers at the end of the period. Subdued spending stifled the growth of the total trade value and industrial production, lowering the amount of freight transported.
  • Additional trends and insights available with purchase
Rail Transportation in the US
Revenue (2015-2030)
IBISWorld Logo Source: IBISWorld

Industry outlook (2025-2030)

Market size is projected to grow over the next five years.

Trends and Insights

The adoption of technological advancements will support optimization efforts, leading to growth in operating income

  • Railroad companies that invested in more powerful, fuel-efficient or electric locomotives amid low interest rates are expected to benefit from lower operating costs. These companies are expected to reinvest the excess capital into services like intermodal transportation and new tracking software to bolster their compatibility with other modes of transport and improve their competitive standing against trucking establishments.

Biggest companies in the Rail Transportation in the US

Company
Market Share (%)
2025
Revenue ($m)
2025
Profit ($m)
2025
Profit Margin (%)
2025
Union Pacific Corp
24,843.4
10,218.9
41.1
Burlington Northern Santa Fe, Llc
23,573.6
7,906.4
33.5
Csx Corporation
13,781.7
4,376.8
31.8

To view the market share and analysis for all 4 top companies in this industry, view purchase options.

Products & Services Segmentation

Rail Transportation in the US
Products & Services
IBISWorld Logo Source: IBISWorld

Industry revenue is measured across several distinct product and services lines, including Bulk freight, Intermodal services and Passenger services. Bulk freight is the largest segment of the Rail Transportation in the US.

Trends and Insights

The expansion of intermodal terminals supports the growth of intermodal services

  • Intermodal transportation connects different logistics services at a terminal. Goods are transferred from Class I railways to last-mile delivery options, including short-line railroads, trucks or ships. Intermodal transportation allows for cargo exchange without unloading the container, supporting the efficiency of the supply chain.
  • More insights available in the full report

Table of Contents

About this industry

Industry definition

The Rail Transportation industry is made up of companies that operate rail lines across the United States. This includes large railroad operators (i.e. Class 1 railroads) and regional and local line-haul rail companies that transport freight and passengers. The industry does not include scenic and sightseeing rail transportation, street railroads, commuter rail or rapid transit.

What's included in this industry?

Products and services covered in the Rail Transportation industry in the United States include Intermodal transport, Bulk transport and Passenger transport.

Companies

Companies covered in the Rail Transportation industry in the United States include Union Pacific Corp, Burlington Northern Santa Fe, Llc and Csx Corporation.

Purchase this report to view all 4 major companies in this industry.

Related Terms

Related terms covered in the Rail Transportation industry in the United States include intermodal transport, class 1 railroad, fuel surcharge, rolling stock, line-haul railroad, bulk freight, dwell, gross ton-miles and revenue ton-miles.

Industry Code

NAICS 2017

NAICS 48211 - Rail Transportation in the US

Performance

Get an indication of the industry's health through historical, current and forward-looking trends in the performance indicators that make or break businesses.

Analyst insights

The use of precision scheduled railroading (PSR) has led to leaner operations but also concerns about service consistency and employment levels. The Surface Transportation Bo...

In this chapter (4)

  • Current Performance
  • Outlook
  • Volatility
  • Life Cycle

Key metrics

  • Annual Revenue, Recent Growth, Forecast, Revenue Volatility
  • Number of Employees, Recent Growth, Forecast, Employees per Business, Revenue per Employee
  • Number of Businesses, Recent Growth, Forecast, Employees per Business, Revenue per Business
  • Total Profit, Profit Margin, Profit per Business

Charts

  • Revenue, including historical (2015-2024) and forecast (2025-2030)
  • Employees, including historical (2015-2024) and forecast (2025-2030)
  • Businesses, including historical (2015-2024) and forecast (2025-2030)
  • Profit, including historical (2015-2025)
  • Industry Volatility vs. Revenue Growth
  • Industry Life Cycle

Detailed analysis

  • Trends in supply, demand and current events that are driving current industry performance
  • Expected trends, economic factors and ongoing events that drive the industry's outlook
  • Key success factors for businesses to overcome volatility
  • How contribution to GDP, industry saturation, innovation, consolidation, and technology and systems influence the industry's life cycle phase.

Products and Markets

Learn about an industry's products and services, markets and trends in international trade.

Analyst insight

Rail transportation costs will rise as 50.0% tariffs on imported steel and aluminum inflate infrastructure and equipment expenses. These higher costs could delay rail network...

In this chapter

  • Products & Services
  • Major Markets

Key metrics

  • Largest market segment and value in 2025
  • Product innovation level

Charts

  • Products & services segmentation in 2025
  • Major market segmentation in 2025

Detailed analysis

  • Trends impacting the recent performance of the industry's various segments
  • Innovations in the industry's product or service offering, specialization or delivery method
  • Key factors that successful businesses consider in their offerings
  • Buying segments and key trends influencing demand for industry products and services

Geographic Breakdown

Discover where business activity is most concentrated in an industry and the factors driving these trends to find opportunities and conduct regional benchmarking.

Analyst insights

The rail industry in the Southeast benefits from the region’s population and its intermodal terminals that facilitate distribution for the agricultural and manufacturing secto...

In this chapter (1)

  • Business Locations

Charts

  • Share of revenue, establishment, wages and employment in each state
  • Share of population compared to establishments in each region in 2025

Tables

  • Number and share of establishments in each state in 2025
  • Number and share of revenue each state accounts for in 2025
  • Number and share of wages each state accounts for in 2025
  • Number and share of employees in each state in 2025

Detailed analysis

  • Geographic spread of the industry across North America, and trends associated with changes in the business landscape
  • Key success factors for businesses to use location to their advantage

Competitive Forces

Get data and insights on what's driving competition in an industry and the challenges industry operators and new entrants may face, with analysis built around Porter's Five Forces framework.

Analyst insights

The merger between Kansas City Southern and a part of Canadian Pacific formed CPKC, enhancing its competitive edge in the US rail market. This union allows CPKC to utilize co...

In this chapter (4)

  • Concentration
  • Barriers to Entry
  • Substitutes
  • Buyer & Supplier Analysis

Key metrics

  • Industry concentration level
  • Industry competition level and trend
  • Barriers to entry level and trend
  • Substitutes level and trend
  • Buyer power level and trend
  • Supplier power level and trend

Charts

  • Market share concentration among the top 4 suppliers from 2020-2025
  • Supply chain including upstream supplying industries and downstream buying industries, flow chart

Detailed analysis

  • Factors impacting the industry’s level of concentration, such as business distribution, new entrants, or merger and acquisition activity.
  • Key success factors for businesses to manage the competitive environment of the industry.
  • Challenges that potential industry entrants face such as legal, start-up costs, differentiation, labor/capital intensity and capital expenses.
  • Key success factors for potential entrants to overcome barriers to entry.
  • Competitive threats from potential substitutes for the industry’s own products and services.
  • Key success factors for how successful businesses can compete with substitutes.
  • Advantages that buyers have to keep favorable purchasing conditions.
  • Advantages that suppliers have to maintain favorable selling conditions.
  • Key success factors for how businesses can navigate buyer and supplier power.

Companies

Learn about the performance of the top companies in the industry.

Analyst insights

BNSF announced a $3.92 billion capital investment in 2024 in core network maintenance and expansion projects. The investments aim to enhance operational efficiency and suppor...

In this chapter

  • Market Share Concentration
  • Companies
  • Company Spotlights

Charts

  • Industry market share by company in 2021 through 2025
  • Major companies in the industry, including market share, revenue, profit and profit margin in 2025
  • Overview of Union Pacific Corp's performance by revenue, market share and profit margin from 2019 through 2025
  • Overview of Burlington Northern Santa Fe, Llc's performance by revenue, market share and profit margin from 2019 through 2025
  • Overview of Csx Corporation's performance by revenue, market share and profit margin from 2019 through 2025
  • Overview of revenue, market share and profit margin trend for one additional company

Detailed analysis

  • Description and key data for Union Pacific Corp, and factors influencing its performance in the industry
  • Description and key data for Burlington Northern Santa Fe, Llc, and factors influencing its performance in the industry
  • Description and key data for Csx Corporation, and factors influencing its performance in the industry
  • Description, key data and performance trends for one additional company

External Environment

Understand the demographic, economic and regulatory factors that shape how businesses in an industry perform.   

Analyst insights

The Surface Transportation Board oversees the regulation of railroads, including fuel surcharges. It ensures that charges correlate with actual costs and has jurisdiction ove...

In this chapter

  • External Drivers
  • Regulation & Policy
  • Assistance

Key metrics

  • Regulation & policy level and trend
  • Assistance level and trend

Charts

  • Regulation & Policy historical data and forecast (2015-2030) 
  • Assistance historical data and forecast (2015-2030) 

Detailed analysis

  • Demographic and macroeconomic factors influencing the industry, including Regulation & Policy and Assistance
  • Major types of regulations, regulatory bodies, industry standards or specific regulations impacting requirements for industry operators
  • Key governmental and non-governmental groups or policies that may provide some relief for industry operators.

Financial Benchmarks

View average costs for industry operators and compare financial data against an industry's financial benchmarks over time. 

Analyst insights

Automation and precision scheduled railroading adoption are reducing wage costs in the rail industry. Companies can lower labor needs and improve overall operational efficien...

In this chapter

  • Cost Structure
  • Financial Ratios
  • Key Ratios

Key metrics

  • Profit margin, and how it compares to the sector-wide margin
  • Average wages, and how it compares to the sector-wide average wage
  • Largest cost component as a percentage of revenue
  • Industry average ratios for days' receivables, industry coverage and debt-to-net-worth ratio

Charts

  • Average industry operating costs as a share of revenue, including purchases, wages, depreciation, utilities, rent, other costs and profit in 2025
  • Average sector operating costs as a share of revenue, including purchases, wages, depreciation, utilities, rent, other costs and profit in 2025
  • Investment vs. share of economy

Data tables

  • Industry Multiples (2018-2023)
  • Industry Tax Structure (2018-2023)
  • Income Statement (2018-2023)
  • Balance Sheet (2018-2023)
  • Liquidity Ratios (2018-2023)
  • Coverage Ratios (2018-2023)
  • Leverage Ratios  (2018-2023)
  • Operating Ratios (2018-2023)
  • Cash Flow & Debt Service Ratios (2015-2030)
  • Revenue per Employee (2015-2030)
  • Revenue per Enterprise (2015-2030)
  • Employees per Establishment (2015-2030)
  • Employees per Enterprise (2015-2030)
  • Average Wage (2015-2030)
  • Wages/Revenue (2015-2030)
  • Establishments per Enterprise (2015-2030)
  • IVA/Revenue (2015-2030)
  • Imports/Demand (2015-2030)
  • Exports/Revenue (2015-2030)

Detailed analysis

  • Trends in the cost component for industry operators and their impact on industry costs and profitability 

Key Statistics

Industry Data

Data Tables

Including values and annual change:

  • Revenue (2015-2030)
  • IVA (2015-2030)
  • Establishments (2015-2030)
  • Enterprises (2015-2030)
  • Employment (2015-2030)
  • Exports (2015-2030)
  • Imports (2015-2030)
  • Wages (2015-2030)

Top Questions Answered

Unlock comprehensive answers and precise data upon purchase. View purchase options.

What is the market size of the Rail Transportation industry in the United States in 2025?

The market size of the Rail Transportation industry in the United States is $103.0bn in 2025.

How many businesses are there in the Rail Transportation industry in the United States in 2025?

There are 624 businesses in the Rail Transportation industry in the United States, which has declined at a CAGR of 0.1 % between 2020 and 2025.

How may import tariffs affect the Rail Transportation industry in the United States?

The Rail Transportation industry in the United States is unlikely to be materially impacted by import tariffs with imports accounting for a low share of industry revenue.

How may export tariffs affect the Rail Transportation industry in the United States?

The Rail Transportation industry in the United States is unlikely to be materially impacted by export tariffs with exports accounting for a low share of industry revenue.

Has the Rail Transportation industry in the United States grown or declined over the past 5 years?

The market size of the Rail Transportation industry in the United States has been growing at a CAGR of 4.5 % between 2020 and 2025.

What is the forecast growth of the Rail Transportation industry in the United States over the next 5 years?

Over the next five years, the Rail Transportation industry in the United States is expected to grow.

What are the biggest companies in the Rail Transportation industry in the United States?

The biggest companies operating in the Rail Transportation industry in the United States are Union Pacific Corp, Burlington Northern Santa Fe, Llc and Csx Corporation

What does the Rail Transportation industry in the United States include?

Intermodal transport and Bulk transport are part of the Rail Transportation industry in the United States.

Which companies have the highest market share in the Rail Transportation industry in the United States?

The company holding the most market share in the Rail Transportation industry in the United States is Union Pacific Corp.

How competitive is the Rail Transportation industry in the United States?

The level of competition is moderate and steady in the Rail Transportation industry in the United States.

Methodology

How are IBISWorld reports created?

IBISWorld has been a leading provider of trusted industry research for over 50 years to the most successful companies worldwide. With offices in Australia, the United States, the United Kingdom, Germany and China, we are proud to have local teams of analysts that conduct research, data analysis and forecasting to produce data-driven industry reports.

Our analysts start with official, verified and publicly available sources of data to build the most accurate picture of each industry. Analysts then leverage their expertise and knowledge of the local markets to synthesize trends into digestible content for IBISWorld readers. Finally, each report is reviewed by one of IBISWorld’s editors, who provide quality assurance to ensure accuracy and readability.

IBISWorld relies on human-verified data and human-written analysis to compile each standard industry report. We do not use generative AI tools to write insights, although members can choose to leverage AI-based tools within the platform to generate additional analysis formats.

What data sources do IBISWorld analysts use?

Each industry report incorporates data and research from government databases, industry-specific sources, industry contacts, and our own proprietary database of statistics and analysis to provide balanced, independent and accurate insights.

Key data sources in the US include: 

  • US Census Bureau
  • US Bureau of Labor Statistics
  • US International Trade Commission

Analysts also use industry specific sources to complement catch-all sources, although their perspective may focus on a particular organization or representative body, rather than a clear overview of all industry operations. However, when balanced against other perspectives, industry-specific sources provide insights into industry trends.

These sources include:

  • Industry and trade associations
  • Industry federations or regulators
  • Major industry players annual or quarterly filings

Finally, IBISWorld’s global data scientists maintain a proprietary database of macroeconomic and demand drivers, which our analysts use to help inform industry data and trends. They also maintain a database of statistics and analysis on thousands of industries, which has been built over our more than 50-year history and offers comprehensive insights into long-term trends.

How does IBISWorld forecast its data?

IBISWorld’s analysts and data scientists use the sources above to create forecasts for our proprietary datasets and industry statistics. Depending on the dataset, they may use regression analysis, multivariate analysis, time-series analysis or exponential smoothing techniques to project future data for the industry or driver. Additionally, analysts will leverage their local knowledge of industry operating and regulatory conditions to impart their best judgment on the forecast model.

IBISWorld prides itself on being a trusted, independent source of data, with over 50 years of experience building and maintaining rich datasets and forecasting tools. We are proud to be the keystone source of industry information for thousands of companies across the world.

Learn more about our methodology and data sourcing on the Help Center.

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