International trips by US residents

In 2026, international trips by US residents are projected to grow 2.1%, reaching 217.4 million departures. Growth is moderated by rising travel costs, which limit the pace of expansion and increasingly concentrate outbound trips within higher-income and luxury demographics. International sporting events, notably overseas games from American leagues like the NFL and the 2026 Olympics, continue to entice avid sports travelers, while emerging destinations like the United Arab Emirates, supported by high-profile attractions and streamlined visa processes, spark greater interest among Americans seeking new experiences. Despite cost pressures, these developments support ongoing expansion, especially for travelers able to absorb elevated expenses.

From 2021 to 2026, US outbound international travel exhibited dramatic shifts following the COVID-19 pandemic. Travel collapsed in 2020 as strict international restrictions and public health fears caused a 73.6% contraction and decade-low departure volumes. Only partial recovery occurred in 2021, as new virus variants and consumer hesitancy inhibited a full rebound despite some relaxation of travel barriers. Momentum accelerated sharply through 2022, driven by the removal of restrictions and strong pent-up demand, resulting in a 97.3% surge in outbound trips. Nevertheless, departures remained below pre-pandemic levels, reaching only 63.0% of 2019's tally. Through 2023 and 2024, persistent consumer appetite for global travel and steady domestic economic conditions allowed further gains, expanding over inflationary and recession risks. Airline advancements such as improved fuel efficiency and growing global connectivity supported cost management and reduced friction, broadening market access. Variability in the US dollar against foreign currencies shaped purchasing power abroad, while major global events, like the Paris Olympics, temporarily boosted outbound travel.

Over the five years to 2026, international travel by US residents rebounded sharply from its pandemic shock, recording compound annual growth of 22.3%. Structural drivers—rising personal incomes, ongoing aviation innovations, and strong consumer intent—underpinned this trajectory, even as geopolitical episodes and regulatory uncertainties persisted. Demand is increasingly defined by changing demographics and media-driven interest in new destinations, solidifying US outbound travel as a mainstay of the global tourism market.